Some geopolitics is always good on a Tuesday night. Especially when discussing two heavyweights - the US and China.
A lot of diplomatic rhetoric has been flying around concerning the US and Japan, China and the 'war for the Western Pacific'.
Today's Daily Quota is an article from Wired titled 'Why Beijing Could Win the China-America Showdown of 2030'. It discusses, in great brevity, some key findings from a recent book by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
If you're interested in the topic, but don't know too much about it, this should provide enough of a foundation for further research.
David Axe presents three hypothetical, but somewhat simplistic, scenarios:
However, a friend had recently outlined some flaws in the article, especially 'left field' factors such as miscalculation by NK which might prompt Chinese intervention, recalibration of the Japanese constitution in favour of defence and random political and military agendas regarding the South China Sea.
I myself had noted the simplistic nature of the findings, despite being based on a wealth of relevant and up-to-date information.
Whatever the case, the article is great - it's brief, it's full of useful hyperlinks, and its made with succinctness in mind.
Enjoy!
READ IT HERE
A lot of diplomatic rhetoric has been flying around concerning the US and Japan, China and the 'war for the Western Pacific'.
Today's Daily Quota is an article from Wired titled 'Why Beijing Could Win the China-America Showdown of 2030'. It discusses, in great brevity, some key findings from a recent book by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
If you're interested in the topic, but don't know too much about it, this should provide enough of a foundation for further research.
David Axe presents three hypothetical, but somewhat simplistic, scenarios:
- New World Order - In this case, all the cards stack up in China's favour - they continue with another few decades of 10% GDP growth, investing more and more into their naval expansion in the South China Sea. At the same time, their regional adversaries - the US and Japan - face deeper and deeper fiscal ruin; in turn, having to make dramatic cuts to their military spending. The highly anticipated F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program flunks, and the US Navy is unable to foresee the growth of a Chinese submarine fleet.
This scenario is possible, but unlikely. - America Rules - The other side of the coin - Japan and the US experience a near-miraculous economic recovery, and manage to sustain their military spending and allegiance with neighbouring friendly states. The new USAF projects work as advertised, and the US military initiative is now armed with a new generation of Stealth aircraft.
- Middle Ground - In this more likely scenario, both parties make economic sacrifices - having to resort to innovation over brute military capacity. Japan trains its Navy in US Marine Corps style combat and China continues making marginal improvements to land, sea, air and cyber capabilities.
However, a friend had recently outlined some flaws in the article, especially 'left field' factors such as miscalculation by NK which might prompt Chinese intervention, recalibration of the Japanese constitution in favour of defence and random political and military agendas regarding the South China Sea.
I myself had noted the simplistic nature of the findings, despite being based on a wealth of relevant and up-to-date information.
Whatever the case, the article is great - it's brief, it's full of useful hyperlinks, and its made with succinctness in mind.
Enjoy!
READ IT HERE
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